Reading vs Barnsley analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73.9%
Win probability
2.22
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.3%
4-0
5.9%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.7%
3-0
10.6%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.8%
2-0
14.3%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.2%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
17.2%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
17.1%
9%
Win probability
0.63
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.8%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Reading
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Aug. 2011 |
OPA
1 - 0
REA
37%
27%
36%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2011 |
LEI
0 - 2
REA
44%
25%
31%
|
75 | 73 | 2 | +1 |
| 06 Aug. 2011 |
REA
2 - 2
MIL
59%
23%
18%
|
76 | 71 | 5 | -1 |
| 30 May. 2011 |
SWA
4 - 2
REA
37%
28%
36%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | -2 |
| 17 May. 2011 |
CAR
0 - 3
REA
40%
26%
34%
|
78 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Barnsley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Aug. 2011 |
BAR
1 - 3
MID
27%
27%
45%
|
62 | 73 | 11 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2011 |
BAR
0 - 1
SOU
23%
25%
52%
|
62 | 74 | 12 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2011 |
BAR
0 - 2
MOR
65%
20%
15%
|
64 | 49 | 15 | -2 |
| 06 Aug. 2011 |
NTT
0 - 0
BAR
62%
22%
16%
|
64 | 71 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2011 |
BAR
1 - 0
MIL
35%
29%
37%
|
64 | 73 | 9 | 0 |