RCD Carabanchel vs CD Canillas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.2%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.6%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.5%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.3%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.2%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.9%
23.9%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
14.6%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-31%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
16
12º
15º
14º
12
10º
17º
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
16º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
42 | 73 |
1º
|
83.5% | |
|
7º
|
29 | 62 |
2º
|
26% | |
|
2º
|
33 | 60 |
3º
|
19.5% | |
|
4º
|
32 | 57 |
4º
|
12% | |
|
8º
|
29 | 57 |
5º
|
16.5% | |
|
5º
|
31 | 56 |
6º
|
9.5% | |
|
3º
|
33 | 55 |
7º
|
10.5% | |
|
9º
|
26 | 54 |
8º
|
10% | |
|
6º
|
30 | 54 |
9º
|
9.5% | |
|
11º
|
23 | 47 |
10º
|
16% | |
|
12º
|
22 | 44 |
11º
|
15.5% | |
|
10º
|
25 | 44 |
12º
|
22.5% | |
|
13º
|
22 | 44 |
13º
|
17% | |
|
|
14º
|
16 | 34 |
14º
|
32% | |
|
15º
|
14 | 29 |
15º
|
20% | |
|
|
16º
|
12 | 27 |
16º
|
23.5% | |
|
18º
|
11 | 26 |
17º
|
19% | |
|
17º
|
12 | 24 |
18º
|
40.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
79.5% | 28% |
|
Relegation
|
20.5% | 72% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
RCD Carabanchel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Nov. 2024 |
ALC
1 - 0
CAR
65%
21%
15%
|
24 | 35 | 11 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2024 |
CAR
1 - 2
TRJ
35%
24%
41%
|
25 | 28 | 3 | -1 |
| 03 Nov. 2024 |
ALC
1 - 0
CAR
66%
20%
14%
|
25 | 35 | 10 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2024 |
CAR
0 - 1
RVB
49%
23%
28%
|
26 | 24 | 2 | -1 |
| 19 Oct. 2024 |
LEG
0 - 0
CAR
69%
19%
12%
|
26 | 39 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
CD Canillas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Nov. 2024 |
CAN
2 - 1
ALA
58%
22%
21%
|
21 | 17 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2024 |
CVI
0 - 0
CAN
76%
15%
9%
|
21 | 33 | 12 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2024 |
CAN
1 - 3
GAL
30%
25%
45%
|
22 | 28 | 6 | -1 |
| 27 Oct. 2024 |
VAL
3 - 1
CAN
60%
22%
18%
|
23 | 31 | 8 | -1 |
| 19 Oct. 2024 |
CAN
0 - 2
ARA
39%
25%
36%
|
24 | 26 | 2 | -1 |