RCD Carabanchel vs CD Canillas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.3%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.6%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.6%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.3%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.1%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.9%
23.8%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
14.6%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+15%
-25%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
9
12º
15º
15º
9
10º
17º
17º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
16º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
25 | 64 |
1º
|
28% | |
|
3º
|
22 | 63 |
2º
|
13.5% | |
|
5º
|
18 | 62 |
3º
|
16% | |
|
1º
|
25 | 60 |
4º
|
10% | |
|
6º
|
18 | 56 |
5º
|
11.5% | |
|
11º
|
13 | 54 |
6º
|
9% | |
|
10º
|
15 | 53 |
7º
|
8% | |
|
7º
|
17 | 52 |
8º
|
10% | |
|
4º
|
20 | 52 |
9º
|
11% | |
|
9º
|
15 | 50 |
10º
|
12% | |
|
12º
|
13 | 45 |
11º
|
12% | |
|
14º
|
12 | 44 |
12º
|
11.5% | |
|
8º
|
16 | 42 |
13º
|
7.5% | |
|
13º
|
12 | 38 |
14º
|
10.5% | |
|
|
15º
|
9 | 35 |
15º
|
13.5% | |
|
17º
|
9 | 32 |
16º
|
26% | |
|
|
16º
|
9 | 28 |
17º
|
36% | |
|
18º
|
2 | 18 |
18º
|
66% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0.5% | 0.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
66.5% | 33% |
|
Relegation
|
33% | 66.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
RCD Carabanchel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Nov. 2024 |
ALC
1 - 0
CAR
65%
21%
15%
|
24 | 34 | 10 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2024 |
CAR
1 - 2
TRJ
35%
24%
41%
|
24 | 27 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2024 |
ALC
1 - 0
CAR
66%
20%
14%
|
25 | 35 | 10 | -1 |
| 27 Oct. 2024 |
CAR
0 - 1
RVB
49%
23%
28%
|
26 | 24 | 2 | -1 |
| 19 Oct. 2024 |
LEG
0 - 0
CAR
69%
19%
12%
|
25 | 39 | 14 | +1 |
Matches
CD Canillas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Nov. 2024 |
CAN
2 - 1
ALA
58%
22%
21%
|
21 | 17 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2024 |
CVI
0 - 0
CAN
76%
15%
9%
|
20 | 32 | 12 | +1 |
| 03 Nov. 2024 |
CAN
1 - 3
GAL
30%
25%
45%
|
21 | 27 | 6 | -1 |
| 27 Oct. 2024 |
VAL
3 - 1
CAN
60%
22%
18%
|
22 | 31 | 9 | -1 |
| 19 Oct. 2024 |
CAN
0 - 2
ARA
39%
25%
36%
|
23 | 25 | 2 | -1 |