Rayo Vallecano vs Real Avilés Industrial analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.6%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.8%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.4%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.9%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
11%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.5%
25.9%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.5%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.1%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rayo Vallecano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Nov. 1958 |
GIR
3 - 1
RAY
60%
21%
18%
|
53 | 53 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 1958 |
RAY
0 - 0
BAS
59%
22%
19%
|
53 | 51 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 1958 |
SAB
5 - 0
RAY
83%
11%
6%
|
54 | 73 | 19 | -1 |
| 19 Oct. 1958 |
RAY
0 - 1
RAC
44%
26%
31%
|
54 | 59 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 1958 |
DEP
5 - 0
RAY
75%
16%
10%
|
55 | 65 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
Real Avilés Industrial
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Nov. 1958 |
AVI
0 - 0
VAD
33%
24%
43%
|
52 | 79 | 27 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 1958 |
CDC
4 - 3
AVI
74%
16%
11%
|
53 | 67 | 14 | -1 |
| 26 Oct. 1958 |
GIR
2 - 1
AVI
56%
22%
22%
|
53 | 53 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 1958 |
AVI
1 - 1
BAS
73%
15%
12%
|
54 | 51 | 3 | -1 |
| 12 Oct. 1958 |
SAB
4 - 2
AVI
80%
13%
8%
|
54 | 73 | 19 | 0 |