Copa del Rey 1/64
Global 0-4
Rayo Vallecano vs Racing Ferrol analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
82.2%
Win probability
2.72
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1%
6-0
2.1%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.6%
5-0
4.6%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5.9%
4-0
8.4%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
11.4%
3-0
12.4%
4-1
4.9%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
18.1%
2-0
13.7%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.4%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.3%
12.3%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
5.8%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
12.3%
5.5%
Win probability
0.58
Expected goals
0-1
2.1%
1-2
1.7%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
4.3%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rayo Vallecano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Nov. 1975 |
CEL
2 - 2
RAY
68%
20%
12%
|
59 | 72 | 13 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 1975 |
RAY
2 - 2
BUR
52%
25%
23%
|
59 | 62 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 1975 |
RAY
5 - 0
LEM
86%
10%
4%
|
59 | 33 | 26 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 1975 |
CDT
2 - 0
RAY
65%
20%
14%
|
60 | 63 | 3 | -1 |
| 02 Nov. 1975 |
RAY
1 - 0
CCF
47%
27%
26%
|
59 | 65 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Racing Ferrol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Nov. 1975 |
RCF
1 - 0
ATH
55%
26%
19%
|
44 | 45 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 1975 |
PON
2 - 0
RCF
58%
27%
15%
|
46 | 46 | 0 | -2 |
| 16 Nov. 1975 |
COL
0 - 1
RCF
47%
25%
28%
|
45 | 41 | 4 | +1 |
| 09 Nov. 1975 |
RCF
3 - 1
LEM
76%
18%
6%
|
45 | 34 | 11 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 1975 |
LAR
1 - 0
RCF
34%
34%
32%
|
46 | 37 | 9 | -1 |