Rayo Vallecano vs Osasuna analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.5%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.3%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.9%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.5%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26%
36.5%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
0-1
9.2%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
20.2%
0-2
6.1%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.6%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
+9%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
32
3º
14º
7º
30
5º
13º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
49 | 88 |
1º
|
71.5% | |
|
3º
|
45 | 83 |
2º
|
58% | |
|
2º
|
48 | 81 |
3º
|
59.5% | |
|
5º
|
37 | 67 |
4º
|
55% | |
|
4º
|
41 | 66 |
5º
|
47% | |
|
7º
|
31 | 55 |
6º
|
35% | |
|
|
6º
|
32 | 51 |
7º
|
14.5% | |
|
11º
|
28 | 50 |
8º
|
13.5% | |
|
10º
|
29 | 50 |
9º
|
13.5% | |
|
12º
|
28 | 50 |
10º
|
14.5% | |
|
|
8º
|
30 | 49 |
11º
|
16% | |
|
13º
|
25 | 46 |
12º
|
12% | |
|
9º
|
30 | 46 |
13º
|
13% | |
|
14º
|
24 | 40 |
14º
|
13% | |
|
17º
|
23 | 39 |
15º
|
8% | |
|
19º
|
19 | 38 |
16º
|
11.5% | |
|
15º
|
23 | 38 |
17º
|
15.5% | |
|
18º
|
21 | 37 |
18º
|
15.5% | |
|
16º
|
23 | 36 |
19º
|
18% | |
|
20º
|
15 | 30 |
20º
|
64.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Champions League
|
0.5% | 0% |
|
Europa League
|
2% | 1.5% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
6.5% | 11% |
|
Mid-table
|
90.5% | 86.5% |
|
Relegation
|
0.5% | 1% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rayo Vallecano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
ESP
2 - 1
RAY
47%
26%
27%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2024 |
RAY
1 - 2
FCB
10%
17%
73%
|
84 | 96 | 12 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
GET
0 - 0
RAY
43%
28%
29%
|
84 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2024 |
RSO
1 - 2
RAY
63%
23%
14%
|
83 | 91 | 8 | +1 |
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
WOL
0 - 1
RAY
58%
24%
18%
|
83 | 88 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Osasuna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 2024 |
OSA
3 - 2
CEL
36%
25%
39%
|
86 | 86 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2024 |
GIR
4 - 0
OSA
63%
21%
17%
|
86 | 89 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
OSA
1 - 0
MLL
45%
26%
29%
|
86 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
OSA
1 - 1
LEG
61%
23%
15%
|
86 | 80 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
ALA
2 - 1
OSA
35%
27%
38%
|
86 | 84 | 2 | 0 |