Copa del Rey 1/256
Global 6-5
Rayo Vallecano vs CD Manchego analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
87.2%
Win probability
2.93
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.5%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.5%
7-0
1.3%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.5%
6-0
3%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
<0%
+6
3.6%
5-0
6.2%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
7.7%
4-0
10.6%
5-1
2.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
13.6%
3-0
14.5%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
19.7%
2-0
14.9%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.2%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
6.4%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
18.1%
9.5%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
4.4%
2-2
1.4%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
9.5%
3.2%
Win probability
0.43
Expected goals
0-1
1.5%
1-2
1%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
2.7%
0-2
0.3%
1-3
0.1%
2-4
0%
-2
0.5%
0-3
0%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rayo Vallecano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 1979 |
BUR
1 - 1
RAY
56%
24%
19%
|
71 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 1979 |
RAY
1 - 2
SPO
39%
29%
32%
|
71 | 84 | 13 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 1979 |
HER
2 - 2
RAY
59%
24%
17%
|
71 | 77 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 1979 |
RAY
1 - 1
RSO
39%
29%
32%
|
71 | 83 | 12 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 1979 |
SLA
3 - 0
RAY
60%
24%
17%
|
71 | 79 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
CD Manchego
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 1979 |
MAN
1 - 0
CDS
67%
21%
12%
|
34 | 28 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 1979 |
CIE
2 - 1
MAN
58%
25%
17%
|
35 | 29 | 6 | -1 |
| 14 Oct. 1979 |
MAN
3 - 1
PLA
61%
23%
15%
|
34 | 33 | 1 | +1 |
| 07 Oct. 1979 |
DBN
1 - 1
MAN
72%
18%
9%
|
34 | 33 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 1979 |
MAN
2 - 0
PEG
52%
26%
23%
|
32 | 36 | 4 | +2 |