Rayo Vallecano vs Fuenlabrada analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
79%
Win probability
2.42
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.7%
5-0
3.6%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.4%
4-0
7.4%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.5%
3-0
12.2%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
16.8%
2-0
15.1%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.9%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.7%
14.5%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
6.8%
2-2
2.2%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
14.5%
6.5%
Win probability
0.55
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
1.9%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
5.1%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.2%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rayo Vallecano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Aug. 2004 |
ART
1 - 2
RAY
10%
21%
69%
|
77 | 36 | 41 | 0 |
| 19 Jun. 2004 |
RAY
1 - 2
UDL
58%
23%
19%
|
77 | 72 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Jun. 2004 |
SLA
1 - 1
RAY
41%
26%
33%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Jun. 2004 |
RAY
2 - 0
CCF
66%
22%
13%
|
77 | 69 | 8 | 0 |
| 30 May. 2004 |
REC
0 - 0
RAY
46%
27%
27%
|
76 | 80 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Fuenlabrada
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Aug. 2004 |
FUE
1 - 1
MLL
36%
27%
37%
|
45 | 52 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2004 |
FUE
4 - 0
ZAM
32%
27%
41%
|
43 | 53 | 10 | +2 |
| 09 May. 2004 |
COM
4 - 3
FUE
56%
24%
20%
|
44 | 52 | 8 | -1 |
| 02 May. 2004 |
FUE
0 - 4
SSR
45%
26%
29%
|
45 | 45 | 0 | -1 |
| 25 Apr. 2004 |
FUE
0 - 2
ZAR
45%
27%
28%
|
47 | 48 | 1 | -2 |