Rayo Vallecano vs Castillo CF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73.7%
Win probability
2.02
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.7%
4-0
5.6%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
6.9%
3-0
11.1%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.2%
2-0
16.5%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
<0%
+2
22.7%
1-0
16.3%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
25.9%
18.4%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
2%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
18.4%
7.9%
Win probability
0.5
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
2%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
6.3%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-40%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rayo Vallecano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 May. 2005 |
LEG
1 - 0
RAY
24%
27%
49%
|
73 | 61 | 12 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2005 |
RAY
0 - 0
SSR
72%
19%
9%
|
73 | 48 | 25 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2005 |
NAV
1 - 4
RAY
13%
22%
66%
|
73 | 38 | 35 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2005 |
RAY
1 - 1
ALC
73%
18%
9%
|
73 | 48 | 25 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2005 |
CEL
0 - 2
RAY
23%
26%
51%
|
73 | 57 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Castillo CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 May. 2005 |
CAS
1 - 0
MLL
29%
29%
42%
|
45 | 50 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2005 |
FUE
0 - 1
CAS
59%
24%
18%
|
44 | 49 | 5 | +1 |
| 17 Apr. 2005 |
CAS
2 - 1
ART
47%
28%
25%
|
43 | 38 | 5 | +1 |
| 10 Apr. 2005 |
ALC
1 - 2
CAS
58%
25%
17%
|
42 | 56 | 14 | +1 |
| 03 Apr. 2005 |
CAS
0 - 0
PPJ
29%
29%
42%
|
42 | 48 | 6 | 0 |