Rayo Vallecano vs Algeciras CF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.3%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.1%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.4%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.2%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.6%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.3%
21.4%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.5%
0-2
3%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rayo Vallecano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Oct. 1965 |
VAD
1 - 1
RAY
76%
15%
9%
|
50 | 67 | 17 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 1965 |
RAY
1 - 1
MEL
64%
20%
16%
|
50 | 49 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 1965 |
VAL
2 - 1
RAY
75%
15%
10%
|
50 | 61 | 11 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 1965 |
RAY
1 - 0
CAD
50%
23%
27%
|
49 | 56 | 7 | +1 |
| 12 Sep. 1965 |
HER
1 - 0
RAY
75%
15%
10%
|
50 | 63 | 13 | -1 |
Matches
Algeciras CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Oct. 1965 |
ALG
3 - 0
CEU
54%
23%
23%
|
54 | 56 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 1965 |
LEV
2 - 0
ALG
80%
13%
7%
|
54 | 71 | 17 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 1965 |
ALG
2 - 0
PUE
38%
28%
34%
|
53 | 61 | 8 | +1 |
| 19 Sep. 1965 |
REC
1 - 0
ALG
67%
20%
14%
|
53 | 60 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 1965 |
ALG
0 - 1
GRA
41%
28%
32%
|
54 | 60 | 6 | -1 |