NIFL Championship 2 round 8

Rathfriland Rangers vs Moyola Park analysis

Rathfriland Rangers Moyola Park
40 ELO 42
2.7% Tilt -4.2%
7445º General ELO ranking 6790º
39º Country ELO ranking 37º
ELO win probability
41.9%
Rathfriland Rangers
23.3%
Draw
34.8%
Moyola Park

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.9%
Win probability
Rathfriland Rangers
1.69
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.3%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.9%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.6%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.2%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.3%
34.8%
Win probability
Moyola Park
1.53
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.2%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
4%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10.2%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.3%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Rathfriland Rangers
+43%
+15%
Moyola Park

ELO progression

Rathfriland Rangers
Moyola Park
Dollingstown
Ballymacash Rangers
Oxford Sunnyside
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Rathfriland Rangers
Rathfriland Rangers
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
23 Nov. 2024
RFC
Rosario
2 - 4
Rathfriland Rangers
RRF
13%
17%
70%
39 8 31 0
09 Nov. 2024
RRF
Rathfriland Rangers
5 - 3
Knockbreda
KNO
43%
23%
35%
38 37 1 +1
02 Nov. 2024
BAN
Banbridge Town
1 - 0
Rathfriland Rangers
RRF
51%
23%
26%
39 41 2 -1
26 Oct. 2024
RRF
Rathfriland Rangers
2 - 0
Dunloy
DFC
76%
15%
10%
38 7 31 +1
05 Oct. 2024
RRF
Rathfriland Rangers
1 - 2
Queens University Belfast
QUB
30%
23%
47%
39 49 10 -1

Matches

Moyola Park
Moyola Park
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
23 Nov. 2024
MOY
Moyola Park
1 - 0
ST. James Swifts
STJ
76%
14%
10%
41 13 28 0
02 Nov. 2024
WFC
Willowbank
4 - 5
Moyola Park
MOY
12%
15%
73%
41 14 27 0
05 Oct. 2024
MOY
Moyola Park
3 - 2
Warrenpoint Town
WAR
22%
23%
56%
40 51 11 +1
01 Oct. 2024
MOY
Moyola Park
2 - 4
Annagh United
AUN
11%
17%
72%
40 61 21 0
21 Sep. 2024
DER
Dergview FC
2 - 1
Moyola Park
MOY
45%
24%
31%
41 42 1 -1