UEFA Youth League Ruta Doméstica Final
Global 5-1
Rapid Wien U19 vs FC Basel U19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
13.7%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1%
2-0
1.6%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
3.4%
1-0
3%
2-1
3.9%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
9%
17%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
17%
69.3%
Win probability
2.5
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
4.1%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.8%
0-2
9.1%
1-3
7.9%
2-4
2.6%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
20%
0-3
7.6%
1-4
4.9%
2-5
1.3%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
14%
0-4
4.7%
1-5
2.5%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0.1%
-4
7.8%
0-5
2.4%
1-6
1%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
3.6%
0-6
1%
1-7
0.4%
2-8
0.1%
-6
1.4%
0-7
0.4%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.5%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rapid Wien U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Nov. 2024 |
BAS
1 - 2
RAP
75%
15%
10%
|
9 | 37 | 28 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2024 |
RAP
3 - 2
BRG
7%
12%
81%
|
7 | 54 | 47 | +2 |
| 22 Oct. 2024 |
BRG
0 - 0
RAP
82%
13%
6%
|
7 | 53 | 46 | 0 |
Matches
FC Basel U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Nov. 2024 |
BAS
1 - 2
RAP
75%
15%
10%
|
37 | 9 | 28 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2024 |
SAB
1 - 2
BAS
12%
16%
72%
|
36 | 6 | 30 | +1 |
| 23 Oct. 2024 |
BAS
6 - 0
SAB
75%
15%
10%
|
36 | 7 | 29 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2024 |
BAS
0 - 2
BYM
47%
21%
32%
|
38 | 32 | 6 | -2 |
| 29 Nov. 2023 |
DZA
0 - 0
BAS
58%
21%
22%
|
37 | 45 | 8 | +1 |