Scottish Championship round 29

Raith Rovers vs Dunfermline Athletic FC analysis

Raith Rovers Dunfermline Athletic FC
59 ELO 63
-4.2% Tilt -3.9%
1308º General ELO ranking 1922º
14º Country ELO ranking 23º
ELO win probability
42.4%
Raith Rovers
27%
Draw
30.6%
Dunfermline Athletic FC

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.4%
Win probability
Raith Rovers
1.35
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.1%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.5%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.7%
27%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27%
30.6%
Win probability
Dunfermline Athletic FC
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
9.4%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.6%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
8.4%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Raith Rovers
-11%
-6%
Dunfermline Athletic FC

ELO progression

Raith Rovers
Dunfermline Athletic FC
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Raith Rovers
Raith Rovers
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
16 Mar. 2010
DUN
Dunfermline Athletic FC
2 - 1
Raith Rovers
RAI
54%
24%
22%
60 62 2 0
13 Mar. 2010
DUN
Dundee
1 - 2
Raith Rovers
RAI
58%
23%
19%
59 67 8 +1
09 Mar. 2010
RAI
Raith Rovers
2 - 1
Ross County FC
ROS
38%
28%
35%
58 64 6 +1
06 Mar. 2010
ROS
Ross County FC
1 - 0
Raith Rovers
RAI
63%
21%
16%
59 64 5 -1
16 Feb. 2010
ABE
Aberdeen
0 - 1
Raith Rovers
RAI
66%
21%
13%
58 72 14 +1

Matches

Dunfermline Athletic FC
Dunfermline Athletic FC
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
16 Mar. 2010
DUN
Dunfermline Athletic FC
2 - 1
Raith Rovers
RAI
54%
24%
22%
62 60 2 0
13 Mar. 2010
DUN
Dunfermline Athletic FC
3 - 1
Queen of the South
QOS
51%
25%
25%
61 60 1 +1
09 Mar. 2010
AIR
Airdrieonians
1 - 1
Dunfermline Athletic FC
DUN
26%
27%
47%
62 49 13 -1
06 Mar. 2010
DUN
Dunfermline Athletic FC
2 - 0
Airdrieonians
AIR
73%
18%
9%
61 49 12 +1
27 Feb. 2010
GRE
Greenock Morton
1 - 2
Dunfermline Athletic FC
DUN
35%
28%
38%
61 54 7 0