Radnik Bijeljina vs Sarajevo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
18.4%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.1%
2-0
2.8%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.3%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
4.7%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
12.7%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.2%
57.4%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
0-1
13.8%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.7%
0-2
11.5%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.8%
0-3
6.4%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
8.9%
0-4
2.7%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.5%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
+14%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
16
5º
8º
8º
34
2º
3º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
35 | 49 |
1º
|
45% | |
|
|
2º
|
34 | 48 |
2º
|
32% | |
|
3º
|
32 | 47 |
3º
|
29% | |
|
4º
|
29 | 43 |
4º
|
62% | |
|
5º
|
20 | 32 |
5º
|
48.5% | |
|
6º
|
16 | 30 |
6º
|
41.5% | |
|
7º
|
16 | 29 |
7º
|
32% | |
|
|
8º
|
16 | 24 |
8º
|
29% | |
|
10º
|
12 | 23 |
9º
|
29.5% | |
|
9º
|
13 | 21 |
10º
|
48% | |
|
11º
|
4 | 11 |
11º
|
53% | |
|
12º
|
2 | 10 |
12º
|
58% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
0% | 30.5% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 59.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
53% | 10% |
|
Relegation
|
47% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Radnik Bijeljina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Nov. 2024 |
SIR
2 - 0
RAD
67%
21%
13%
|
62 | 72 | 10 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2024 |
RAD
3 - 1
GOS
45%
26%
29%
|
61 | 58 | 3 | +1 |
| 30 Oct. 2024 |
BRA
0 - 5
RAD
28%
24%
48%
|
60 | 50 | 10 | +1 |
| 25 Oct. 2024 |
ZEL
2 - 0
RAD
69%
21%
10%
|
60 | 76 | 16 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2024 |
RAD
2 - 1
SLO
30%
27%
43%
|
59 | 66 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Sarajevo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Nov. 2024 |
GOS
0 - 3
SAR
18%
23%
59%
|
77 | 58 | 19 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2024 |
SAR
2 - 0
SLO
69%
19%
12%
|
76 | 66 | 10 | +1 |
| 06 Nov. 2024 |
ZRI
1 - 1
SAR
47%
24%
29%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2024 |
SLO
0 - 6
SAR
20%
25%
55%
|
76 | 63 | 13 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2024 |
SLO
0 - 2
SAR
6%
14%
80%
|
77 | 47 | 30 | -1 |