Racing vs Valencia Mestalla analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.4%
Win probability
2.95
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
0.1%
+7
0.9%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.3%
5-0
2.9%
6-1
1.7%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
0.1%
+5
5.1%
4-0
4.9%
5-1
3.5%
6-2
1.1%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
9.6%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
5.9%
5-2
2.1%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
0.1%
+3
15.2%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
3.6%
5-3
0.9%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
19.4%
1-0
4.5%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
4.9%
4-3
1.5%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.5%
14.7%
Draw
0-0
1.5%
1-1
5.6%
2-2
5%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
14.6%
12.9%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
1.9%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
8.1%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Racing
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Feb. 1949 |
SPO
3 - 0
RAC
71%
16%
14%
|
56 | 70 | 14 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 1949 |
RAC
1 - 2
RCF
63%
17%
20%
|
57 | 60 | 3 | -1 |
| 23 Jan. 1949 |
RAC
1 - 2
GRA
57%
20%
23%
|
57 | 70 | 13 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 1949 |
BAR
2 - 3
RAC
75%
14%
12%
|
56 | 66 | 10 | +1 |
| 09 Jan. 1949 |
RAC
4 - 4
CAS
52%
20%
28%
|
56 | 67 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Valencia Mestalla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Feb. 1949 |
VAL
1 - 2
GRA
50%
22%
28%
|
58 | 71 | 13 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 1949 |
BAR
6 - 2
VAL
79%
12%
9%
|
58 | 65 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 1949 |
VAL
3 - 1
CAS
46%
21%
33%
|
57 | 68 | 11 | +1 |
| 16 Jan. 1949 |
GIR
2 - 1
VAL
57%
21%
23%
|
58 | 53 | 5 | -1 |
| 06 Jan. 1949 |
VAL
1 - 0
LEV
49%
20%
31%
|
57 | 66 | 9 | +1 |