Racing vs Real Zaragoza analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
76.9%
Win probability
3.13
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.5%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.3%
6-0
1.9%
7-1
0.9%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
3%
5-0
3.6%
6-1
2.1%
7-2
0.5%
8-3
0.1%
+5
6.2%
4-0
5.7%
5-1
4%
6-2
1.2%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
11.1%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
6.4%
5-2
2.2%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
0.1%
+3
16.4%
2-0
7%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
3.6%
5-3
0.8%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
19.7%
1-0
4.5%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.5%
13%
Draw
0-0
1.4%
1-1
5%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
13%
10.1%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
1.6%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
6.6%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Racing
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Oct. 1949 |
LLE
1 - 2
RAC
33%
21%
46%
|
59 | 46 | 13 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 1949 |
RAC
4 - 1
SDE
91%
6%
3%
|
59 | 41 | 18 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 1949 |
BAR
1 - 2
RAC
69%
16%
15%
|
58 | 62 | 4 | +1 |
| 18 Sep. 1949 |
RAC
5 - 2
GIR
73%
15%
12%
|
57 | 56 | 1 | +1 |
| 11 Sep. 1949 |
ARO
1 - 4
RAC
30%
24%
46%
|
57 | 39 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
Real Zaragoza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Oct. 1949 |
ZAR
4 - 2
NUM
92%
6%
3%
|
54 | 38 | 16 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 1949 |
SPO
3 - 1
ZAR
78%
13%
9%
|
54 | 70 | 16 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 1949 |
ZAR
4 - 3
OSA
70%
16%
14%
|
54 | 54 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 1949 |
SAB
5 - 1
ZAR
78%
13%
10%
|
54 | 66 | 12 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 1949 |
ZAR
2 - 0
BAD
70%
15%
15%
|
54 | 52 | 2 | 0 |