Copa del Rey 1/16
Global 1-2
Racing vs Atlético analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35.3%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.5%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
9.9%
1-0
11%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.7%
28%
Draw
0-0
9.5%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
28%
36.7%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
11.3%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
21.2%
0-2
6.7%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
10.4%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Racing
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Feb. 1976 |
ATH
1 - 0
RAC
64%
21%
15%
|
71 | 81 | 10 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 1976 |
RAC
1 - 0
SLA
53%
27%
21%
|
71 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 1976 |
ATM
1 - 0
RAC
79%
14%
7%
|
71 | 86 | 15 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 1976 |
ELC
5 - 2
RAC
48%
27%
24%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | -1 |
| 01 Feb. 1976 |
RAC
2 - 0
SPO
52%
27%
22%
|
71 | 74 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Atlético
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Feb. 1976 |
FCB
2 - 1
ATM
62%
21%
16%
|
86 | 87 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 1976 |
ATM
2 - 0
ATH
70%
19%
11%
|
86 | 81 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 1976 |
ATM
1 - 0
RAC
79%
14%
7%
|
86 | 71 | 15 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 1976 |
SLA
2 - 2
ATM
32%
29%
39%
|
86 | 74 | 12 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 1976 |
ATM
3 - 0
ELC
77%
15%
8%
|
86 | 72 | 14 | 0 |