Racing Olavarría vs Unión Mar del Plata analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.4%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.2%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.8%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.7%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.4%
36.1%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
9.6%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.3%
0-2
6.2%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.4%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Racing Olavarría
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jan. 2013 |
DES
1 - 0
RAO
61%
22%
17%
|
50 | 57 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2012 |
RAO
1 - 0
GIM
40%
26%
34%
|
49 | 52 | 3 | +1 |
| 07 Dec. 2012 |
VIL
0 - 2
RAO
50%
24%
26%
|
48 | 50 | 2 | +1 |
| 03 Dec. 2012 |
CIP
2 - 0
RAO
66%
20%
14%
|
48 | 56 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2012 |
RIV
2 - 1
RAO
48%
26%
26%
|
49 | 52 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Unión Mar del Plata
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jan. 2013 |
UNI
0 - 2
RIV
47%
26%
27%
|
53 | 53 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2012 |
JUU
3 - 0
UNI
45%
26%
29%
|
54 | 54 | 0 | -1 |
| 04 Dec. 2012 |
UNI
2 - 1
ALV
50%
26%
24%
|
54 | 52 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2012 |
MAI
1 - 1
UNI
57%
24%
19%
|
54 | 61 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2012 |
UNI
1 - 1
GBR
25%
26%
49%
|
54 | 63 | 9 | 0 |