Racing Ferrol vs Real Murcia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.9%
Win probability
2.06
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.2%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.3%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.3%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.9%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.3%
24.8%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.3%
0-2
3%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Racing Ferrol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jan. 1949 |
DEP
3 - 0
RCF
73%
14%
13%
|
62 | 74 | 12 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 1948 |
BAR
2 - 0
RCF
65%
18%
18%
|
63 | 65 | 2 | -1 |
| 05 Dec. 1948 |
MAL
6 - 2
RCF
61%
17%
22%
|
64 | 67 | 3 | -1 |
| 28 Nov. 1948 |
RCF
2 - 4
CAS
47%
21%
32%
|
65 | 68 | 3 | -1 |
| 21 Nov. 1948 |
RCF
0 - 1
HER
48%
20%
32%
|
65 | 68 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Real Murcia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jan. 1949 |
MUR
2 - 3
ALB
82%
12%
7%
|
68 | 43 | 25 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 1948 |
MUR
2 - 0
CAS
43%
22%
35%
|
67 | 68 | 1 | +1 |
| 12 Dec. 1948 |
MUR
1 - 0
MAL
51%
22%
27%
|
67 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 1948 |
MUR
5 - 1
HER
42%
22%
37%
|
66 | 69 | 3 | +1 |
| 27 Nov. 1948 |
VAL
2 - 0
MUR
55%
20%
25%
|
67 | 57 | 10 | -1 |