Segunda round 8

Racing Ferrol vs Elche analysis

Racing Ferrol Elche
73 ELO 79
1.4% Tilt -14%
833º General ELO ranking 454º
41º Country ELO ranking 29º
ELO win probability
35.7%
Racing Ferrol
27.2%
Draw
37.1%
Elche

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35.7%
Win probability
Racing Ferrol
1.22
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.7%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.2%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.5%
27.2%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.2%
37.1%
Win probability
Elche
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
10.6%
1-2
8%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21%
0-2
6.6%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.7%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Racing Ferrol
-8%
+1%
Elche

Points and table prediction

Racing Ferrol
Their league position
Elche
CURR.POS.
20º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
13
13º
21º
20º
22
20º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Racing
36
81
47.5%
Levante
23
74
20%
Granada
25
73
13%
Almería
22
73
15.5%
Real Oviedo
26
69
8%
Eibar
11º
21
67
14.5%
Real Sporting
25
65
15.5%
Elche
22
62
7.5%
Real Zaragoza
24
61
6%
Cádiz
16º
17
60
10º
6%
Mirandés
25
58
11º
8.5%
CD Castellón
12º
20
57
12º
11%
RC Deportivo
17º
16
56
13º
6.5%
Huesca
13º
19
53
14º
11%
Albacete
15º
17
52
15º
8.5%
Málaga
10º
21
52
16º
7%
Córdoba CF
18º
16
47
17º
8%
Eldense
14º
18
46
18º
12%
Tenerife
21º
10
44
19º
10%
Racing Ferrol
20º
13
43
20º
15%
Burgos
19º
15
43
21º
18%
FC Cartagena
22º
10
37
22º
43%
Expected probabilities
Racing Ferrol
Elche
Promotion
0% 3.5%
Promotion play-offs
0.5% 25.5%
Mid-table
43.5% 71%
Relegation
56% 0%

ELO progression

Racing Ferrol
Elche
Real Oviedo
Eldense
CD Castellón
Tenerife
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Racing Ferrol
Racing Ferrol
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
29 Sep. 2024
CCF
Córdoba CF
3 - 1
Racing Ferrol
RCF
50%
26%
25%
73 72 1 0
21 Sep. 2024
RCF
Racing Ferrol
1 - 4
Albacete
ALB
43%
26%
31%
74 74 0 -1
15 Sep. 2024
CAD
Cádiz
0 - 0
Racing Ferrol
RCF
57%
26%
18%
73 82 9 +1
08 Sep. 2024
RCF
Racing Ferrol
0 - 0
Mirandés
MIR
52%
26%
23%
73 72 1 0
01 Sep. 2024
DEP
RC Deportivo
1 - 0
Racing Ferrol
RCF
55%
25%
21%
73 76 3 0

Matches

Elche
Elche
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
28 Sep. 2024
MAL
Málaga
0 - 3
Elche
ELC
31%
29%
39%
78 74 4 0
22 Sep. 2024
ELC
Elche
1 - 0
Mirandés
MIR
57%
25%
19%
78 73 5 0
15 Sep. 2024
ELC
Elche
2 - 2
Granada
GRA
40%
26%
34%
78 80 2 0
08 Sep. 2024
ZAR
Real Zaragoza
3 - 0
Elche
ELC
40%
28%
32%
78 76 2 0
02 Sep. 2024
ELC
Elche
3 - 1
Córdoba CF
CCF
57%
24%
19%
78 71 7 0