Segunda round 8

Racing Ferrol vs Elche analysis

Racing Ferrol Elche
73 ELO 79
1.4% Tilt -14%
825º General ELO ranking 451º
41º Country ELO ranking 29º
ELO win probability
35.7%
Racing Ferrol
27.2%
Draw
37.1%
Elche

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35.7%
Win probability
Racing Ferrol
1.22
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.7%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.2%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.5%
27.2%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.2%
37.1%
Win probability
Elche
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
10.6%
1-2
8%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21%
0-2
6.6%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.7%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Racing Ferrol
-5%
+3%
Elche

Points and table prediction

Racing Ferrol
Their league position
Elche
CURR.POS.
20º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
12
13º
21º
18º
21
20º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Racing
30
79
37%
Levante
21
76
18%
Granada
19
68
12%
Almería
13º
16
68
15%
Real Oviedo
22
68
6%
Eibar
11º
18
65
8.5%
Elche
21
64
10.5%
Real Sporting
22
63
5%
Real Zaragoza
22
63
5%
CD Castellón
19
59
10º
9.5%
Cádiz
18º
13
59
11º
7.5%
Huesca
10º
18
56
12º
10.5%
Mirandés
21
56
13º
7%
RC Deportivo
17º
13
54
14º
11%
Albacete
14º
16
53
15º
5%
Córdoba CF
15º
15
50
16º
9%
Málaga
12º
17
49
17º
12.5%
Racing Ferrol
20º
12
46
18º
6%
Burgos
16º
15
46
19º
8.5%
Tenerife
21º
10
45
20º
11.5%
Eldense
19º
12
43
21º
12%
FC Cartagena
22º
7
36
22º
41.5%
Expected probabilities
Racing Ferrol
Elche
Promotion
0% 9.5%
Promotion play-offs
1.5% 29%
Mid-table
51.5% 61%
Relegation
47% 0.5%

ELO progression

Racing Ferrol
Elche
Levante
Almería
Racing
Eibar
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Racing Ferrol
Racing Ferrol
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
29 Sep. 2024
CCF
Córdoba CF
3 - 1
Racing Ferrol
RCF
50%
26%
25%
73 72 1 0
21 Sep. 2024
RCF
Racing Ferrol
1 - 4
Albacete
ALB
43%
26%
31%
74 74 0 -1
15 Sep. 2024
CAD
Cádiz
0 - 0
Racing Ferrol
RCF
57%
26%
18%
73 82 9 +1
08 Sep. 2024
RCF
Racing Ferrol
0 - 0
Mirandés
MIR
52%
26%
23%
73 72 1 0
01 Sep. 2024
DEP
RC Deportivo
1 - 0
Racing Ferrol
RCF
55%
25%
21%
73 76 3 0

Matches

Elche
Elche
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
28 Sep. 2024
MAL
Málaga
0 - 3
Elche
ELC
31%
29%
39%
78 74 4 0
22 Sep. 2024
ELC
Elche
1 - 0
Mirandés
MIR
57%
25%
19%
78 73 5 0
15 Sep. 2024
ELC
Elche
2 - 2
Granada
GRA
40%
26%
34%
78 80 2 0
08 Sep. 2024
ZAR
Real Zaragoza
3 - 0
Elche
ELC
40%
28%
32%
78 76 2 0
02 Sep. 2024
ELC
Elche
3 - 1
Córdoba CF
CCF
57%
24%
19%
78 71 7 0