RC Calais vs Olympique St Quentin analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
10.7%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
0.7%
2-0
1.1%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
2.6%
1-0
2.1%
2-1
3.1%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
0.1%
+1
7.1%
14.2%
Draw
0-0
2%
1-1
6%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
14.2%
75.1%
Win probability
2.87
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
4.2%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
19.8%
0-2
8.3%
1-3
8.2%
2-4
3%
3-5
0.6%
4-6
0.1%
-2
20.3%
0-3
8%
1-4
5.9%
2-5
1.7%
3-6
0.3%
4-7
0%
-3
15.9%
0-4
5.7%
1-5
3.4%
2-6
0.8%
3-7
0.1%
4-8
0%
-4
10.1%
0-5
3.3%
1-6
1.6%
2-7
0.3%
3-8
0%
-5
5.3%
0-6
1.6%
1-7
0.7%
2-8
0.1%
3-9
0%
-6
2.4%
0-7
0.6%
1-8
0.2%
2-9
0%
-7
0.9%
0-8
0.2%
1-9
0.1%
2-10
0%
-8
0.3%
0-9
0.1%
1-10
0%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+681%
-35%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
16
8º
13º
12º
16
4º
13º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
28 | 48 |
1º
|
40.5% | |
|
3º
|
22 | 46 |
2º
|
22% | |
|
12º
|
16 | 43 |
3º
|
21.5% | |
|
4º
|
21 | 42 |
4º
|
16.5% | |
|
5º
|
20 | 41 |
5º
|
17.5% | |
|
2º
|
22 | 37 |
6º
|
19% | |
|
6º
|
17 | 37 |
7º
|
18.5% | |
|
|
7º
|
16 | 34 |
8º
|
15% | |
|
13º
|
14 | 31 |
9º
|
9% | |
|
9º
|
16 | 31 |
10º
|
12.5% | |
|
11º
|
16 | 31 |
11º
|
18.5% | |
|
|
8º
|
16 | 28 |
12º
|
24% | |
|
10º
|
16 | 25 |
13º
|
33% | |
|
14º
|
9 | 21 |
14º
|
64.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 1% |
|
Mid-table
|
18.5% | 68.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
14% | 12.5% |
|
Relegation
|
67.5% | 18% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
RC Calais
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Dec. 2024 |
LEN
4 - 2
RCC
82%
12%
7%
|
17 | 42 | 25 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2024 |
TOU
0 - 1
RCC
55%
21%
24%
|
16 | 22 | 6 | +1 |
| 23 Nov. 2024 |
RCC
1 - 1
OCP
36%
22%
42%
|
16 | 18 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2024 |
LUL
1 - 3
RCC
63%
20%
17%
|
14 | 32 | 18 | +2 |
| 09 Nov. 2024 |
DIE
2 - 0
RCC
73%
16%
11%
|
14 | 34 | 20 | 0 |
Matches
Olympique St Quentin
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Dec. 2024 |
OLY
2 - 2
PDC
61%
19%
20%
|
40 | 33 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2024 |
SAN
3 - 4
OLY
33%
25%
42%
|
39 | 38 | 1 | +1 |
| 09 Nov. 2024 |
OLY
4 - 0
DRA
52%
22%
25%
|
37 | 36 | 1 | +2 |
| 03 Nov. 2024 |
VAL
1 - 2
OLY
28%
21%
51%
|
37 | 31 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2024 |
OLY
1 - 4
VIM
65%
19%
16%
|
38 | 30 | 8 | -1 |