Racing Castrelos vs Moraña analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.4%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.1%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
5.6%
2-0
4.9%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.7%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
4%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.1%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
7%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.5%
38.1%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
4%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
18.7%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
11.3%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.3%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-21%
-69%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Racing Castrelos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Nov. 2022 |
PON
2 - 2
CAS
45%
23%
32%
|
12 | 12 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2022 |
CAS
2 - 0
ARN
28%
24%
48%
|
10 | 15 | 5 | +2 |
| 06 Nov. 2022 |
BAR
2 - 0
CAS
69%
19%
12%
|
11 | 17 | 6 | -1 |
| 30 Oct. 2022 |
CAS
2 - 1
CAM
36%
23%
41%
|
10 | 12 | 2 | +1 |
| 23 Oct. 2022 |
PON
7 - 0
CAS
75%
15%
9%
|
11 | 17 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Moraña
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Nov. 2022 |
MOR
1 - 0
POR
23%
23%
55%
|
12 | 18 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2022 |
MOR
2 - 2
UMI
30%
23%
47%
|
12 | 15 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2022 |
PON
0 - 0
MOR
50%
22%
28%
|
12 | 13 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2022 |
MOR
3 - 1
ARN
22%
24%
55%
|
10 | 16 | 6 | +2 |
| 23 Oct. 2022 |
BAR
3 - 0
MOR
65%
20%
15%
|
11 | 17 | 6 | -1 |