CD Quintana vs Castuera analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.9%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.5%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.5%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.2%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.5%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.9%
33.2%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.6%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.7%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+25%
+13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Quintana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 May. 2023 |
CDS
0 - 1
QUI
28%
21%
51%
|
16 | 12 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2023 |
QUI
3 - 1
CDS
59%
20%
21%
|
15 | 13 | 2 | +1 |
| 07 May. 2023 |
GAR
2 - 1
QUI
27%
20%
53%
|
16 | 13 | 3 | -1 |
| 30 Apr. 2023 |
QUI
3 - 1
GAR
56%
20%
24%
|
15 | 14 | 1 | +1 |
| 23 Apr. 2023 |
MOR
1 - 3
QUI
29%
22%
49%
|
15 | 12 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Castuera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 May. 2023 |
CAS
3 - 0
AMA
55%
22%
23%
|
16 | 15 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2023 |
AMA
2 - 1
CAS
33%
24%
43%
|
17 | 15 | 2 | -1 |
| 07 May. 2023 |
CAS
4 - 1
EMD
59%
21%
20%
|
16 | 14 | 2 | +1 |
| 30 Apr. 2023 |
EMD
1 - 2
CAS
34%
25%
41%
|
16 | 15 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2023 |
CAS
3 - 1
CPG
67%
18%
15%
|
15 | 12 | 3 | +1 |