Quilmes vs Nueva Chicago analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.8%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.3%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.7%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.1%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
8.9%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.3%
24%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.7%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
+16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Quilmes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Feb. 2004 |
RAF
0 - 0
QUI
50%
25%
25%
|
67 | 63 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2003 |
TAL
0 - 0
QUI
59%
24%
18%
|
67 | 72 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2003 |
QUI
2 - 1
LAN
31%
28%
41%
|
67 | 76 | 9 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2003 |
RAC
1 - 1
QUI
66%
21%
12%
|
66 | 79 | 13 | +1 |
| 26 Nov. 2003 |
QUI
0 - 0
CHA
40%
28%
32%
|
66 | 72 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Nueva Chicago
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Feb. 2004 |
CHI
2 - 2
RIV
23%
23%
54%
|
66 | 82 | 16 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2003 |
CHI
0 - 1
IND
43%
26%
31%
|
67 | 73 | 6 | -1 |
| 07 Dec. 2003 |
NOB
1 - 1
CHI
64%
22%
14%
|
67 | 77 | 10 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2003 |
CHI
1 - 2
EST
45%
27%
28%
|
67 | 73 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2003 |
BAN
2 - 0
CHI
59%
24%
17%
|
68 | 75 | 7 | -1 |