Quilmes vs Vélez Sarsfield analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
30.8%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
<0%
+3
2.2%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.9%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
6.2%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
20%
31%
Draw
0-0
14%
1-1
13.5%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
31%
38.2%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
14.7%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
23.1%
0-2
7.8%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
10.6%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Quilmes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Nov. 1991 |
BEL
0 - 0
QUI
70%
20%
11%
|
68 | 82 | 14 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 1991 |
QUI
1 - 1
GLP
48%
29%
23%
|
68 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 1991 |
RAC
1 - 1
QUI
60%
24%
16%
|
68 | 73 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 1991 |
QUI
0 - 0
CEN
41%
29%
31%
|
68 | 75 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 1991 |
CAU
0 - 0
QUI
61%
23%
16%
|
68 | 71 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Vélez Sarsfield
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Nov. 1991 |
VEL
2 - 2
PLA
65%
21%
14%
|
79 | 72 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 1991 |
ARG
1 - 1
VEL
41%
30%
30%
|
79 | 74 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 1991 |
VEL
1 - 1
SLO
56%
25%
20%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 1991 |
TAL
1 - 0
VEL
46%
27%
27%
|
79 | 73 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 1991 |
VEL
1 - 0
EST
67%
21%
12%
|
79 | 73 | 6 | 0 |