Liga MX Apertura round 5

Querétaro vs Cruz Azul analysis

Querétaro Cruz Azul
71 ELO 82
-0.1% Tilt -1.9%
1024º General ELO ranking 344º
19º Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
29.4%
Querétaro
27.6%
Draw
42.9%
Cruz Azul

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
29.4%
Win probability
Querétaro
1.04
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.5%
2-0
5.1%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.9%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.3%
27.6%
Draw
0-0
9.5%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.6%
42.9%
Win probability
Cruz Azul
1.32
Expected goals
0-1
12.5%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
23.2%
0-2
8.2%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.7%
0-3
3.6%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Querétaro
-16%
+17%
Cruz Azul

Points and table prediction

Querétaro
Their league position
Cruz Azul
CURR.POS.
17º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
12
12º
18º
17º
42
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Cruz Azul
42
42
100%
Toluca
35
35
100%
Tigres UANL
34
34
100%
Monterrey
31
31
0%
Pumas UNAM
31
31
0%
Atl. San Luis
30
30
100%
América
27
27
100%
Tijuana
27
27
100%
Chivas Guadalajara
25
25
100%
Atlas Guadalajara
10º
22
22
10º
100%
León
11º
18
18
11º
100%
FC Juárez
12º
17
17
12º
100%
Necaxa
13º
15
15
13º
100%
Puebla
14º
15
15
14º
100%
Mazatlán
15º
14
14
15º
100%
Pachuca
16º
13
13
16º
100%
Querétaro
17º
12
12
17º
100%
Santos Laguna
18º
10
10
18º
100%
Expected probabilities
Querétaro
Cruz Azul
Final Series
0% 100%
Play-offs
0% 0%
Mid-table
100% 0%

ELO progression

Querétaro
Cruz Azul
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Querétaro
Querétaro
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
19 Aug. 2024
AUR
Atl. San Luis
4 - 0
Querétaro
QRO
53%
24%
23%
73 74 1 0
02 Aug. 2024
CIN
Cincinnati
1 - 0
Querétaro
QRO
72%
17%
11%
72 83 11 +1
29 Jul. 2024
NYC
New York City
0 - 0
Querétaro
QRO
67%
19%
14%
72 83 11 0
21 Jul. 2024
MON
Monterrey
2 - 1
Querétaro
QRO
64%
21%
15%
73 83 10 -1
17 Jul. 2024
QRO
Querétaro
0 - 2
Chivas Guadalajara
CHI
31%
28%
41%
73 82 9 0

Matches

Cruz Azul
Cruz Azul
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
14 Aug. 2024
CAZ
Cruz Azul
2 - 2
Mazatlán
MAZ
64%
21%
15%
82 72 10 0
10 Aug. 2024
ORL
Orlando City
0 - 0
Cruz Azul
CAZ
55%
23%
22%
82 84 2 0
05 Aug. 2024
PHU
Philadelphia Union
1 - 1
Cruz Azul
CAZ
53%
23%
24%
82 84 2 0
01 Aug. 2024
CHA
Charlotte FC
0 - 0
Cruz Azul
CAZ
46%
27%
28%
82 83 1 0
21 Jul. 2024
CAZ
Cruz Azul
1 - 1
Toluca
TOL
38%
25%
37%
82 83 1 0