Kokand 1912 vs Aral Nukus analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
79.9%
Win probability
2.58
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.7%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.1%
5-0
3.9%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5.1%
4-0
7.6%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.4%
3-0
11.8%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.3%
2-0
13.8%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.5%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.5%
13.6%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
6.5%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
13.6%
6.5%
Win probability
0.61
Expected goals
0-1
2.5%
1-2
2%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.2%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
+106%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
37
2º
5º
3º
22
4º
10º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
45 | 48 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
41 | 41 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
37 | 40 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
31 | 34 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
23 | 26 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
22 | 26 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
22 | 22 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
17 | 18 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
18 | 18 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
16 | 16 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
12 | 12 |
11º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Kokand 1912
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2023 |
FKL
2 - 1
QOQ
52%
25%
23%
|
58 | 63 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2023 |
QOQ
5 - 3
FKA
85%
11%
4%
|
58 | 21 | 37 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2023 |
PFK
0 - 1
QOQ
9%
17%
74%
|
58 | 18 | 40 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2023 |
QOQ
2 - 1
URF
87%
10%
4%
|
58 | 17 | 41 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2023 |
MAS
0 - 1
QOQ
28%
27%
45%
|
58 | 53 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Aral Nukus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 2023 |
XOR
2 - 2
ORO
78%
15%
7%
|
32 | 51 | 19 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2023 |
ORO
0 - 1
DSA
13%
22%
65%
|
33 | 59 | 26 | -1 |
| 19 Aug. 2023 |
ORO
2 - 0
FKL
10%
19%
72%
|
31 | 64 | 33 | +2 |
| 14 Aug. 2023 |
ORO
0 - 2
NAV
10%
19%
70%
|
31 | 66 | 35 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2023 |
FKA
0 - 2
ORO
23%
19%
58%
|
31 | 23 | 8 | 0 |