FA Cup 1/16

Qingdao FC vs Guangzhou City analysis

Qingdao FC Guangzhou City
57 ELO 73
6.3% Tilt 1.1%
26776º General ELO ranking 23941º
119º Country ELO ranking 103º
ELO win probability
20.4%
Qingdao FC
21.6%
Draw
58%
Guangzhou City

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
20.3%
Win probability
Qingdao FC
1.08
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.6%
2-0
2.8%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.3%
1-0
5.1%
2-1
5.4%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.9%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.6%
58%
Win probability
Guangzhou City
1.97
Expected goals
0-1
9.3%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.5%
0-2
9.2%
1-3
6.5%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
17.7%
0-3
6%
1-4
3.2%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
10%
0-4
3%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.5%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.6%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →

ELO progression

Qingdao FC
Guangzhou City
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Qingdao FC
Qingdao FC
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
29 Apr. 2017
SHE
Shenzhen FC
1 - 2
Qingdao FC
QIN
49%
25%
27%
57 55 2 0
22 Apr. 2017
QIN
Qingdao FC
2 - 0
Cangzhou Mighty Lions
SHI
42%
28%
30%
56 61 5 +1
19 Apr. 2017
SCA
Shaanxi Chang'an
0 - 1
Qingdao FC
QIN
37%
24%
39%
55 54 1 +1
15 Apr. 2017
WUZ
Wuhan FC
3 - 0
Qingdao FC
QIN
35%
28%
38%
57 53 4 -2
09 Apr. 2017
DAL
Dalian Pro
2 - 1
Qingdao FC
QIN
53%
25%
23%
57 60 3 0

Matches

Guangzhou City
Guangzhou City
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
28 Apr. 2017
GUA
Guangzhou City
1 - 3
Guizhou Zhicheng
GUI
74%
16%
9%
73 59 14 0
21 Apr. 2017
JIA
Jiangsu FC
1 - 2
Guangzhou City
GUA
48%
25%
27%
72 74 2 +1
17 Apr. 2017
LIA
Liaoning Whowin
1 - 4
Guangzhou City
GUA
41%
26%
33%
71 69 2 +1
08 Apr. 2017
GUA
Guangzhou FC
2 - 2
Guangzhou City
GUA
70%
18%
13%
71 81 10 0
01 Apr. 2017
YAN
Yanbian Longding
0 - 1
Guangzhou City
GUA
32%
25%
43%
72 63 9 -1