Qarabağ vs Neftçi analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.6%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4.5%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
12.1%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.2%
28.5%
Draw
0-0
10.6%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
28.5%
29.9%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
10.6%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
18.8%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
8%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+78%
-18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Qarabağ
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Apr. 2013 |
FKQ
0 - 2
QAR
42%
28%
30%
|
72 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2013 |
QAR
2 - 2
FKN
41%
27%
31%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2013 |
FKB
0 - 1
QAR
44%
28%
28%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2013 |
FKN
2 - 1
QAR
51%
24%
25%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2013 |
QAR
3 - 2
SHA
43%
30%
27%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Neftçi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Apr. 2013 |
FKN
2 - 0
SHA
53%
25%
22%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2013 |
QAR
2 - 2
FKN
41%
27%
31%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2013 |
FKN
2 - 1
FKQ
55%
25%
21%
|
72 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2013 |
FKN
2 - 1
QAR
51%
24%
25%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2013 |
SIM
0 - 1
FKN
34%
29%
37%
|
72 | 67 | 5 | 0 |