NCAA Division I Horizon League round 3

Purdue Fort Wayne vs Oakland analysis

Purdue Fort Wayne Oakland
17 ELO 31
-0.3% Tilt 0.6%
47698º General ELO ranking 47705º
862º Country ELO ranking 869º
ELO win probability
14.7%
Purdue Fort Wayne
17.7%
Draw
67.6%
Oakland

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
14.7%
Win probability
Purdue Fort Wayne
1.05
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.1%
2-0
1.7%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
3.7%
1-0
3.3%
2-1
4.2%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
9.6%
17.7%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
17.7%
67.5%
Win probability
Oakland
2.42
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
4%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.1%
0-2
9.1%
1-3
7.7%
2-4
2.4%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
19.7%
0-3
7.4%
1-4
4.7%
2-5
1.2%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
13.4%
0-4
4.4%
1-5
2.3%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0.1%
-4
7.2%
0-5
2.1%
1-6
0.9%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
3.2%
0-6
0.9%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1.2%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Purdue Fort Wayne
-37%
+10%
Oakland

ELO progression

Purdue Fort Wayne
Oakland
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Purdue Fort Wayne
Purdue Fort Wayne
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
04 Feb. 2021
MPT
Milwaukee Panthers
3 - 2
Purdue Fort Wayne
PFW
78%
13%
9%
17 27 10 0

Matches

Oakland
Oakland
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
10 Feb. 2021
OGG
Oakland
2 - 2
UIC Flames
UIC
53%
21%
27%
31 30 1 0
04 Feb. 2021
RMC
Robert Morris
0 - 5
Oakland
OGG
8%
14%
79%
30 12 18 +1