Copa del Rey 1/128
Global 4-1
Puertollano vs Alcorcón analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
77.1%
Win probability
3.09
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.5%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.2%
6-0
1.9%
7-1
0.9%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
3%
5-0
3.6%
6-1
2%
7-2
0.5%
8-3
0.1%
+5
6.2%
4-0
5.9%
5-1
3.9%
6-2
1.1%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
11.1%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
6.3%
5-2
2.1%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.5%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
3.4%
5-3
0.8%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
19.9%
1-0
4.8%
2-1
8%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.6%
13%
Draw
0-0
1.5%
1-1
5.2%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
13%
9.9%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
1.7%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
6.5%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Puertollano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 1980 |
PUE
1 - 1
VAL
79%
13%
8%
|
58 | 48 | 10 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 1980 |
RJA
1 - 2
PUE
47%
28%
25%
|
57 | 55 | 2 | +1 |
| 01 Jun. 1980 |
PUE
2 - 4
LIN
62%
23%
15%
|
58 | 57 | 1 | -1 |
| 25 May. 1980 |
UES
1 - 0
PUE
44%
29%
27%
|
59 | 49 | 10 | -1 |
| 18 May. 1980 |
FCB
1 - 1
PUE
47%
28%
26%
|
59 | 54 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Alcorcón
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 1980 |
ALC
2 - 1
MAN
63%
23%
14%
|
34 | 37 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 1980 |
CDB
3 - 1
ALC
59%
23%
18%
|
36 | 33 | 3 | -2 |
| 01 Jun. 1980 |
ALC
3 - 1
DBN
66%
20%
14%
|
36 | 32 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 May. 1980 |
PEG
0 - 0
ALC
70%
18%
12%
|
36 | 37 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 May. 1980 |
ALC
2 - 0
CAR
73%
18%
10%
|
35 | 27 | 8 | +1 |