Puch vs Thalgau analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
13.1%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1%
2-0
1.4%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
3.3%
1-0
2.8%
2-1
3.7%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
0.1%
+1
8.6%
16.4%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
7.1%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
16.3%
70.5%
Win probability
2.59
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
4.2%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
21.3%
0-2
8.8%
1-3
8%
2-4
2.7%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
20.1%
0-3
7.6%
1-4
5.2%
2-5
1.4%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
14.4%
0-4
4.9%
1-5
2.7%
2-6
0.6%
3-7
0.1%
-4
8.3%
0-5
2.6%
1-6
1.2%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
4%
0-6
1.1%
1-7
0.4%
2-8
0.1%
-6
1.6%
0-7
0.4%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.6%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0%
1-10
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+31%
-25%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
38
4º
13º
8º
58
1º
5º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
58 | 58 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
55 | 55 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
48 | 48 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
42 | 42 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
4º
|
42 | 42 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
39 | 39 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
39 | 39 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
38 | 38 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
35 | 35 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
30 | 30 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
30 | 30 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
20 | 20 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
17 | 17 |
13º
|
0% | |
|
14º
|
17 | 17 |
14º
|
0% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Possible next round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Puch
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 2022 |
TSV
1 - 5
PUC
73%
15%
11%
|
12 | 17 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
PUC
1 - 0
BER
42%
21%
37%
|
11 | 12 | 1 | +1 |
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
SKA
1 - 2
PUC
81%
12%
6%
|
10 | 21 | 11 | +1 |
| 02 Oct. 2022 |
PUC
2 - 1
ALT
41%
22%
37%
|
9 | 10 | 1 | +1 |
| 24 Sep. 2022 |
BUR
1 - 0
PUC
84%
12%
5%
|
9 | 26 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Thalgau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 2022 |
UFV
1 - 2
STR
82%
11%
7%
|
26 | 16 | 10 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2022 |
HAL
2 - 0
UFV
28%
21%
51%
|
28 | 21 | 7 | -2 |
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
UFV
1 - 0
BRA
71%
16%
14%
|
27 | 20 | 7 | +1 |
| 23 Sep. 2022 |
TSV
0 - 2
UFV
33%
21%
45%
|
26 | 21 | 5 | +1 |
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
UFV
7 - 2
BER
84%
10%
6%
|
25 | 14 | 11 | +1 |