Europa League Semi-finals
Global 4-3
PSV vs Barcelona analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.1%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.4%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.5%
2-0
12.4%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.3%
1-0
13.7%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.8%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
22.4%
15.5%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
PSV
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Mar. 1978 |
SPA
0 - 0
PSV
29%
25%
46%
|
88 | 80 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 1978 |
PSV
2 - 1
ADO
73%
17%
10%
|
88 | 77 | 11 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 1978 |
PSV
4 - 2
MAG
46%
25%
29%
|
88 | 90 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 1978 |
NEC
2 - 2
PSV
19%
24%
57%
|
88 | 71 | 17 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 1978 |
TEL
1 - 1
PSV
18%
23%
59%
|
88 | 62 | 26 | 0 |
Matches
Barcelona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Mar. 1978 |
SEV
2 - 1
FCB
31%
30%
39%
|
87 | 76 | 11 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 1978 |
FCB
2 - 1
RSO
81%
13%
6%
|
87 | 81 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 1978 |
FCB
3 - 1
SLA
82%
12%
6%
|
87 | 77 | 10 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 1978 |
FCB
2 - 1
ASV
69%
19%
13%
|
87 | 86 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 1978 |
UDL
0 - 0
FCB
47%
26%
27%
|
87 | 81 | 6 | 0 |