PSNI vs Lisburn Distillery analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
13.7%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1%
2-0
1.5%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
3.4%
1-0
2.8%
2-1
3.9%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
0.1%
+1
8.9%
16.6%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
7.2%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
16.6%
69.8%
Win probability
2.58
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
4.3%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
21.4%
0-2
8.6%
1-3
8%
2-4
2.8%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
19.9%
0-3
7.4%
1-4
5.1%
2-5
1.4%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
14.2%
0-4
4.8%
1-5
2.6%
2-6
0.6%
3-7
0.1%
-4
8.1%
0-5
2.5%
1-6
1.1%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
3.9%
0-6
1.1%
1-7
0.4%
2-8
0.1%
-6
1.5%
0-7
0.4%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.5%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+33%
-21%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
PSNI
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar. 2024 |
PSN
1 - 3
ARC
16%
18%
67%
|
24 | 44 | 20 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2024 |
RRF
3 - 0
PSN
59%
19%
23%
|
24 | 33 | 9 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2024 |
PSN
0 - 3
TOB
37%
21%
42%
|
25 | 32 | 7 | -1 |
| 10 Feb. 2024 |
PSN
3 - 2
MOY
27%
21%
52%
|
23 | 35 | 12 | +2 |
| 03 Feb. 2024 |
DOL
2 - 1
PSN
77%
14%
9%
|
24 | 38 | 14 | -1 |
Matches
Lisburn Distillery
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar. 2024 |
TOB
1 - 0
LIS
19%
21%
60%
|
44 | 32 | 12 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2024 |
LIS
5 - 1
MOY
60%
21%
19%
|
43 | 37 | 6 | +1 |
| 24 Feb. 2024 |
WAR
2 - 0
LIS
69%
18%
13%
|
43 | 53 | 10 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2024 |
RRF
3 - 4
LIS
25%
23%
52%
|
43 | 33 | 10 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2024 |
COA
0 - 1
LIS
32%
23%
44%
|
42 | 35 | 7 | +1 |