PSNI vs Institute analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.5%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.4%
2-0
6%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.1%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.3%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.1%
35.4%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.8%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10.4%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.3%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
PSNI
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Apr. 2017 |
WAR
1 - 1
PSN
64%
21%
15%
|
53 | 60 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2017 |
INS
1 - 1
PSN
47%
26%
28%
|
53 | 55 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2017 |
PSN
1 - 0
BAL
53%
23%
25%
|
54 | 51 | 3 | -1 |
| 25 Mar. 2017 |
LOU
2 - 0
PSN
39%
25%
37%
|
54 | 47 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2017 |
DER
1 - 2
PSN
39%
25%
36%
|
53 | 49 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Institute
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Apr. 2017 |
INS
1 - 0
LOU
57%
24%
20%
|
55 | 48 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2017 |
INS
1 - 1
PSN
47%
26%
28%
|
55 | 53 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2017 |
WAR
3 - 2
INS
56%
22%
22%
|
57 | 62 | 5 | -2 |
| 25 Mar. 2017 |
DER
1 - 5
INS
31%
24%
44%
|
55 | 48 | 7 | +2 |
| 18 Mar. 2017 |
INS
2 - 2
BAL
53%
24%
23%
|
55 | 48 | 7 | 0 |