Provincial Ovalle vs Deportes Rengo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.3%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.4%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.6%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.8%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.5%
32.2%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.5%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.1%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+14%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
33
7º
14º
8º
39
4º
10º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
57 | 57 |
1º
|
0% | |
|
2º
|
57 | 57 |
2º
|
0% | |
|
3º
|
42 | 42 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
39 | 39 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
39 | 39 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
37 | 37 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
36 | 36 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
33 | 33 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
32 | 32 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
30 | 30 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
30 | 30 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
27 | 27 |
12º
|
0% | |
|
13º
|
27 | 27 |
13º
|
0% | |
|
14º
|
8 | 17 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Provincial Ovalle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct. 2024 |
JOA
1 - 2
OVA
46%
26%
28%
|
50 | 48 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2024 |
OVA
1 - 3
CDM
17%
23%
60%
|
51 | 64 | 13 | -1 |
| 29 Sep. 2024 |
CDS
0 - 1
OVA
43%
26%
31%
|
50 | 46 | 4 | +1 |
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
OVA
2 - 1
DLI
47%
26%
27%
|
49 | 50 | 1 | +1 |
| 01 Sep. 2024 |
CON
2 - 1
OVA
59%
24%
17%
|
50 | 56 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Deportes Rengo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Oct. 2024 |
REN
3 - 2
FVC
53%
25%
22%
|
51 | 49 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2024 |
CDP
1 - 1
REN
35%
26%
39%
|
51 | 49 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
CDM
2 - 0
REN
60%
24%
17%
|
51 | 63 | 12 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
REN
1 - 0
JOA
53%
24%
24%
|
51 | 47 | 4 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
CDS
0 - 1
REN
36%
24%
41%
|
50 | 45 | 5 | +1 |