Progresul Spartac vs Cetatea analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.4%
Win probability
2.19
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.5%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.1%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.4%
1-0
9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.2%
19.5%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
9%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.5%
16.1%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10.6%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+21%
-30%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
29
2º
7º
2º
17
6º
10º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
36 | 42 |
1º
|
99% | |
|
|
2º
|
29 | 35 |
2º
|
89.5% | |
|
3º
|
26 | 30 |
3º
|
36% | |
|
4º
|
26 | 30 |
4º
|
36.5% | |
|
5º
|
22 | 25 |
5º
|
31.5% | |
|
6º
|
21 | 25 |
6º
|
31.5% | |
|
|
7º
|
17 | 21 |
7º
|
36.5% | |
|
9º
|
13 | 20 |
8º
|
37% | |
|
8º
|
16 | 17 |
9º
|
60% | |
|
10º
|
6 | 9 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Progresul Spartac
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Nov. 2024 |
CSD
0 - 1
PSB
50%
23%
27%
|
43 | 46 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2024 |
DUN
2 - 1
PSB
32%
24%
44%
|
44 | 34 | 10 | -1 |
| 19 Oct. 2024 |
PSB
0 - 0
ACS
76%
14%
10%
|
44 | 28 | 16 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2024 |
CSO
0 - 1
PSB
19%
23%
58%
|
43 | 32 | 11 | +1 |
| 05 Oct. 2024 |
PSB
1 - 0
VCO
70%
18%
13%
|
42 | 35 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Cetatea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Nov. 2024 |
DUN
0 - 1
ALE
28%
26%
46%
|
35 | 51 | 16 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2024 |
DUN
1 - 3
SRO
70%
17%
14%
|
36 | 23 | 13 | -1 |
| 18 Oct. 2024 |
ARG
0 - 2
DUN
74%
16%
10%
|
34 | 52 | 18 | +2 |
| 12 Oct. 2024 |
CSD
2 - 1
DUN
64%
20%
16%
|
34 | 46 | 12 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2024 |
DUN
4 - 0
DUN
39%
22%
39%
|
32 | 36 | 4 | +2 |