Progresso vs GA Sampaio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.8%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
6.6%
2-0
4.8%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
12.9%
1-0
5.1%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.4%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
7.2%
3-3
2.6%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.7%
35.2%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
4.1%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
17.5%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
10.4%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
4.8%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-83%
+59%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Progresso
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 May. 2023 |
PRO
4 - 4
RIO
74%
15%
11%
|
20 | 10 | 10 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2023 |
GAS
4 - 0
PRO
38%
21%
41%
|
22 | 21 | 1 | -2 |
| 02 May. 2023 |
PRO
1 - 2
ARO
60%
19%
20%
|
22 | 16 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2023 |
NAU
5 - 3
PRO
22%
19%
59%
|
24 | 15 | 9 | -2 |
| 15 Apr. 2023 |
BAR
1 - 0
PRO
18%
19%
63%
|
25 | 17 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
GA Sampaio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Feb. 2024 |
GAS
0 - 1
BRU
9%
19%
72%
|
22 | 70 | 48 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2023 |
GAS
2 - 2
REA
47%
21%
32%
|
22 | 20 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2023 |
GAS
4 - 0
PRO
38%
21%
41%
|
21 | 22 | 1 | +1 |
| 03 May. 2023 |
SAO
3 - 0
GAS
79%
13%
8%
|
21 | 41 | 20 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2023 |
REA
0 - 0
GAS
32%
22%
46%
|
21 | 19 | 2 | 0 |