Progreso vs Montevideo City Torque analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.7%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.9%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.3%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.8%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.5%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.7%
27.6%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16.2%
0-2
4%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.7%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Progreso
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct. 2023 |
PRO
4 - 2
CSC
65%
21%
13%
|
74 | 64 | 10 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2023 |
POT
2 - 2
PRO
17%
25%
58%
|
74 | 57 | 17 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2023 |
NNH
1 - 2
PRO
4%
10%
87%
|
74 | 8 | 66 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2023 |
PRO
2 - 0
BVS
61%
23%
15%
|
74 | 67 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
REN
3 - 0
PRO
24%
27%
49%
|
74 | 63 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Montevideo City Torque
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 2023 |
TOR
2 - 3
LFC
32%
26%
42%
|
73 | 82 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2023 |
TOR
2 - 3
PEÑ
32%
27%
41%
|
73 | 82 | 9 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2023 |
DEF
2 - 0
TOR
65%
20%
15%
|
73 | 82 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
TOR
1 - 0
LUZ
45%
26%
28%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2023 |
MWA
2 - 1
TOR
43%
27%
31%
|
73 | 75 | 2 | 0 |