Progreso vs Atenas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
28.3%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.7%
2-0
4.3%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.8%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.8%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.6%
47.1%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
0-1
9.7%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
22.7%
0-2
7.9%
1-3
5%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
14.3%
0-3
4.2%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
6.7%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.5%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-28%
-13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Progreso
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Nov. 2015 |
TOR
2 - 2
PRO
63%
21%
17%
|
58 | 63 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2015 |
BOS
4 - 0
PRO
64%
21%
15%
|
59 | 70 | 11 | -1 |
| 14 Nov. 2015 |
PRO
1 - 1
CEL
34%
27%
39%
|
58 | 66 | 8 | +1 |
| 08 Nov. 2015 |
ROC
2 - 0
PRO
40%
26%
34%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | -1 |
| 31 Oct. 2015 |
PRO
0 - 3
ORI
37%
27%
37%
|
59 | 65 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Atenas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Nov. 2015 |
BOS
1 - 0
ATE
51%
24%
25%
|
66 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2015 |
ATE
1 - 2
ORI
48%
26%
25%
|
67 | 69 | 2 | -1 |
| 15 Nov. 2015 |
ATE
0 - 1
CAN
57%
24%
18%
|
67 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2015 |
TOR
4 - 1
ATE
37%
25%
38%
|
68 | 62 | 6 | -1 |
| 31 Oct. 2015 |
CEL
5 - 2
ATE
32%
26%
42%
|
68 | 63 | 5 | 0 |