Pro Patria vs Virtus Entella analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
76.4%
Win probability
2.42
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
3.2%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.1%
4-0
6.6%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
9%
3-0
10.9%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16%
2-0
13.5%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.2%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.7%
15.4%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.4%
8.2%
Win probability
0.66
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.2%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-32%
-39%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pro Patria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Apr. 2011 |
TRI
1 - 1
PRO
43%
26%
32%
|
45 | 43 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2011 |
PRO
1 - 0
ACS
79%
14%
7%
|
45 | 31 | 14 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2011 |
REN
2 - 1
PRO
27%
27%
46%
|
46 | 37 | 9 | -1 |
| 13 Mar. 2011 |
PRO
0 - 2
ACR
80%
14%
6%
|
47 | 33 | 14 | -1 |
| 07 Mar. 2011 |
PRO
1 - 1
LEO
74%
17%
9%
|
47 | 39 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Virtus Entella
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Mar. 2011 |
ACR
0 - 0
ACD
46%
26%
28%
|
34 | 35 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2011 |
ACD
1 - 2
ACM
75%
17%
8%
|
34 | 21 | 13 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2011 |
ACM
4 - 1
ACD
43%
27%
31%
|
36 | 35 | 1 | -2 |
| 06 Mar. 2011 |
ACD
2 - 0
SAC
66%
20%
14%
|
36 | 27 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2011 |
SAN
1 - 1
ACD
33%
27%
40%
|
36 | 30 | 6 | 0 |