Pro Patria vs SPAL analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.3%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.3%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.4%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.3%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
27.1%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.7%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.3%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-19%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pro Patria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Mar. 1955 |
SAM
3 - 0
PRO
69%
19%
13%
|
65 | 77 | 12 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 1955 |
ATL
1 - 2
PRO
67%
19%
14%
|
64 | 75 | 11 | +1 |
| 27 Feb. 1955 |
PRO
0 - 1
INT
20%
23%
57%
|
65 | 86 | 21 | -1 |
| 20 Feb. 1955 |
ROM
1 - 1
PRO
72%
17%
11%
|
64 | 79 | 15 | +1 |
| 13 Feb. 1955 |
PRO
0 - 2
TRI
43%
25%
32%
|
65 | 70 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
SPAL
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Mar. 1955 |
FIO
1 - 0
SPA
62%
22%
16%
|
70 | 81 | 11 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 1955 |
SPA
1 - 1
TOR
41%
25%
34%
|
70 | 77 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 1955 |
NOV
2 - 0
SPA
59%
22%
19%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | -1 |
| 20 Feb. 1955 |
SPA
1 - 0
GEN
52%
25%
24%
|
70 | 73 | 3 | +1 |
| 13 Feb. 1955 |
SPA
2 - 0
INT
22%
23%
55%
|
69 | 86 | 17 | +1 |