Imperia vs Oltrepo FBC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50%
Win probability
2.02
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.7%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.3%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
15%
1-0
6%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
9%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.5%
28.5%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
15.5%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
8.2%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+72%
+1902%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
32
8º
19º
9º
25
12º
20º
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
15º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
57 | 87 |
1º
|
93% | |
|
2º
|
47 | 75 |
2º
|
53% | |
|
3º
|
46 | 74 |
3º
|
36% | |
|
4º
|
42 | 69 |
4º
|
32.5% | |
|
8º
|
36 | 64 |
5º
|
26% | |
|
6º
|
38 | 63 |
6º
|
24.5% | |
|
7º
|
37 | 61 |
7º
|
20.5% | |
|
5º
|
39 | 61 |
8º
|
19.5% | |
|
|
9º
|
32 | 54 |
9º
|
33% | |
|
11º
|
28 | 46 |
10º
|
14.5% | |
|
13º
|
27 | 46 |
11º
|
14.5% | |
|
12º
|
28 | 46 |
12º
|
13.5% | |
|
|
15º
|
25 | 46 |
13º
|
14.5% | |
|
10º
|
29 | 45 |
14º
|
11.5% | |
|
16º
|
24 | 43 |
15º
|
18% | |
|
14º
|
27 | 42 |
16º
|
16.5% | |
|
18º
|
20 | 35 |
17º
|
21% | |
|
17º
|
20 | 35 |
18º
|
28% | |
|
20º
|
14 | 27 |
19º
|
31.5% | |
|
19º
|
16 | 25 |
20º
|
47.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
3% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
92% | 69% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
5% | 30% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 1% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Imperia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jan. 2025 |
LIG
1 - 1
PRO
60%
22%
18%
|
35 | 47 | 12 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2024 |
PRO
3 - 0
ABN
50%
22%
29%
|
34 | 31 | 3 | +1 |
| 15 Dec. 2024 |
VOG
1 - 4
PRO
58%
21%
21%
|
32 | 37 | 5 | +2 |
| 08 Dec. 2024 |
PRO
3 - 0
CAI
55%
21%
24%
|
31 | 25 | 6 | +1 |
| 01 Dec. 2024 |
ASD
3 - 0
PRO
67%
20%
13%
|
31 | 51 | 20 | 0 |
Matches
Oltrepo FBC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jan. 2025 |
OLT
1 - 1
LAV
29%
26%
45%
|
30 | 47 | 17 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2024 |
OLT
2 - 2
VOG
36%
22%
42%
|
29 | 36 | 7 | +1 |
| 15 Dec. 2024 |
DER
1 - 2
OLT
55%
21%
24%
|
28 | 36 | 8 | +1 |
| 08 Dec. 2024 |
VFC
3 - 1
OLT
70%
17%
13%
|
28 | 49 | 21 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2024 |
OLT
0 - 0
ACS
41%
23%
36%
|
27 | 34 | 7 | +1 |