Imperia vs Fossano Calcio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.4%
Win probability
2.2
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.3%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.9%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.8%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.3%
20.1%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
20.1%
20.5%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
12.4%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
-5%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
3
6º
16º
16º
3
4º
18º
17º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
16º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
12º
|
4 | 74 |
1º
|
25% | |
|
1º
|
7 | 72 |
2º
|
16.5% | |
|
8º
|
4 | 69 |
3º
|
11.5% | |
|
17º
|
2 | 67 |
4º
|
7.5% | |
|
5º
|
5 | 64 |
5º
|
10% | |
|
2º
|
6 | 64 |
6º
|
14.5% | |
|
6º
|
4 | 63 |
7º
|
8.5% | |
|
7º
|
4 | 60 |
8º
|
6% | |
|
15º
|
3 | 60 |
9º
|
10.5% | |
|
11º
|
4 | 57 |
10º
|
7.5% | |
|
18º
|
1 | 56 |
11º
|
14.5% | |
|
4º
|
6 | 49 |
12º
|
11.5% | |
|
14º
|
3 | 46 |
13º
|
8.5% | |
|
19º
|
0 | 44 |
14º
|
11.5% | |
|
9º
|
4 | 44 |
15º
|
10.5% | |
|
|
13º
|
3 | 43 |
16º
|
8% | |
|
|
16º
|
3 | 37 |
17º
|
14.5% | |
|
10º
|
4 | 32 |
18º
|
16.5% | |
|
3º
|
6 | 31 |
19º
|
20% | |
|
20º
|
0 | 24 |
20º
|
53.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
2.5% | 4% |
|
Mid-table
|
45% | 27.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
42.5% | 50% |
|
Relegation
|
10% | 18.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Imperia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 2024 |
PRO
1 - 1
SAN
21%
21%
59%
|
25 | 41 | 16 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
OLT
1 - 3
PRO
13%
18%
69%
|
24 | 7 | 17 | +1 |
| 15 May. 2022 |
ACS
0 - 2
PRO
20%
22%
58%
|
24 | 16 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2022 |
PRO
3 - 3
FOS
38%
24%
38%
|
24 | 27 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2022 |
PDH
3 - 1
PRO
55%
22%
23%
|
24 | 28 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Fossano Calcio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 2024 |
ABN
4 - 1
FOS
74%
16%
11%
|
20 | 37 | 17 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
FOS
1 - 3
ASD
12%
22%
66%
|
21 | 46 | 25 | -1 |
| 08 Sep. 2024 |
GOZ
1 - 2
FOS
73%
18%
10%
|
20 | 37 | 17 | +1 |
| 07 May. 2023 |
FOS
3 - 3
DER
21%
21%
58%
|
19 | 31 | 12 | +1 |
| 30 Apr. 2023 |
CAS
1 - 1
FOS
82%
12%
6%
|
19 | 33 | 14 | 0 |