1st Division round 8

Pretoria Callies FC vs Baroka analysis

Pretoria Callies FC Baroka
55 ELO 58
-20.8% Tilt -11.4%
2768º General ELO ranking 2218º
26º Country ELO ranking 21º
ELO win probability
30.4%
Pretoria Callies FC
29%
Draw
40.6%
Baroka

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
30.4%
Win probability
Pretoria Callies FC
0.99
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.4%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
8.1%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
6.6%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
19.2%
29%
Draw
0-0
11.2%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
29%
40.6%
Win probability
Baroka
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
13.4%
1-2
8%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
-1
23.1%
0-2
8%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
11.7%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.1%
-3
4.3%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Pretoria Callies FC
-11%
-16%
Baroka

ELO progression

Pretoria Callies FC
Baroka
Venda
Casric Stars
Highbury
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Pretoria Callies FC
Pretoria Callies FC
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
19 Oct. 2024
HLF
Hungry Lions
0 - 0
Pretoria Callies FC
PCF
46%
28%
27%
54 56 2 0
06 Oct. 2024
PCF
Pretoria Callies FC
0 - 0
Durban City
MAR
23%
29%
48%
54 66 12 0
28 Sep. 2024
BLA
Black Leopards
2 - 0
Pretoria Callies FC
PCF
35%
28%
38%
55 52 3 -1
22 Sep. 2024
PCF
Pretoria Callies FC
0 - 0
Milford
MIL
69%
19%
12%
56 27 29 -1
14 Sep. 2024
KRU
Kruger United
1 - 0
Pretoria Callies FC
PCF
16%
22%
61%
56 7 49 0

Matches

Baroka
Baroka
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
18 Oct. 2024
MAR
Durban City
1 - 0
Baroka
BAR
54%
25%
21%
59 66 7 0
06 Oct. 2024
BAR
Baroka
0 - 0
Casric Stars
CST
41%
28%
32%
59 61 2 0
29 Sep. 2024
PRE
Pretoria University
1 - 1
Baroka
BAR
45%
28%
28%
60 62 2 -1
21 Sep. 2024
BAR
Baroka
1 - 0
Kruger United
KRU
75%
16%
9%
60 8 52 0
14 Sep. 2024
HLF
Hungry Lions
0 - 1
Baroka
BAR
40%
29%
31%
59 58 1 +1