Preston North End vs Derby County analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.2%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.4%
2-0
8%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.9%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.8%
25.1%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.9%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Preston North End
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Mar. 1939 |
BPO
2 - 1
PNE
52%
23%
25%
|
82 | 76 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 1939 |
OPA
1 - 0
PNE
46%
24%
30%
|
83 | 78 | 5 | -1 |
| 25 Feb. 1939 |
PNE
2 - 1
ARS
48%
25%
28%
|
83 | 86 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 1939 |
OPA
0 - 0
PNE
47%
25%
29%
|
83 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 1939 |
PNE
1 - 1
STO
57%
22%
21%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Derby County
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Mar. 1939 |
DER
0 - 1
CHL
69%
17%
14%
|
83 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 1939 |
MUD
1 - 1
DER
44%
24%
32%
|
83 | 77 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 1939 |
DER
0 - 1
BIR
71%
16%
13%
|
83 | 77 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 1939 |
DER
1 - 2
BRE
69%
17%
15%
|
83 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 1939 |
BPO
2 - 2
DER
46%
23%
31%
|
83 | 76 | 7 | 0 |