AFC Arnhem vs Alverna analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36.9%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
4.9%
2-0
4.8%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.9%
1-0
6%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.7%
23%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23%
40.1%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
19.6%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
12%
0-3
3%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.6%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AFC Arnhem
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Mar. 2013 |
GER
4 - 1
PRE
48%
22%
30%
|
28 | 26 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2013 |
PRE
4 - 2
GLA
58%
21%
22%
|
27 | 24 | 3 | +1 |
| 03 Mar. 2013 |
PRE
0 - 0
ACH
72%
16%
12%
|
28 | 20 | 8 | -1 |
| 24 Feb. 2013 |
PRE
4 - 4
AWC
56%
21%
23%
|
28 | 25 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2013 |
PRE
4 - 1
TVC
69%
18%
14%
|
27 | 20 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Alverna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Mar. 2013 |
ALV
0 - 1
STE
78%
14%
8%
|
33 | 18 | 15 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2013 |
ALV
3 - 1
RHE
77%
14%
9%
|
33 | 19 | 14 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2013 |
AWC
1 - 2
ALV
38%
23%
40%
|
32 | 26 | 6 | +1 |
| 10 Mar. 2013 |
ALV
3 - 1
BEM
76%
15%
10%
|
32 | 19 | 13 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2013 |
SDO
0 - 4
ALV
19%
21%
61%
|
32 | 17 | 15 | 0 |