AE Prat vs Tona analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35.8%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.1%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.4%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.6%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25.3%
38.9%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
20.6%
0-2
6.3%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
11.4%
0-3
3%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.7%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-20%
+67%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
13
1º
8º
8º
18
1º
9º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
20 | 65 |
1º
|
39% | |
|
|
3º
|
18 | 62 |
2º
|
21% | |
|
6º
|
14 | 58 |
3º
|
16.5% | |
|
2º
|
20 | 58 |
4º
|
8.5% | |
|
4º
|
16 | 54 |
5º
|
10.5% | |
|
5º
|
15 | 53 |
6º
|
10.5% | |
|
15º
|
10 | 52 |
7º
|
10% | |
|
|
7º
|
13 | 49 |
8º
|
10.5% | |
|
10º
|
13 | 48 |
9º
|
5% | |
|
12º
|
12 | 47 |
10º
|
7% | |
|
11º
|
12 | 44 |
11º
|
12.5% | |
|
8º
|
13 | 43 |
12º
|
8.5% | |
|
9º
|
13 | 43 |
13º
|
11% | |
|
17º
|
10 | 42 |
14º
|
12.5% | |
|
16º
|
10 | 39 |
15º
|
13% | |
|
13º
|
11 | 31 |
16º
|
20% | |
|
14º
|
11 | 28 |
17º
|
27.5% | |
|
18º
|
7 | 23 |
18º
|
55.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
3.5% | 20.5% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
24% | 57.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
66.5% | 22% |
|
Relegation
|
6% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AE Prat
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Nov. 2024 |
CER
1 - 1
PRA
50%
25%
25%
|
40 | 42 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2024 |
PRA
1 - 1
LLE
17%
24%
59%
|
39 | 54 | 15 | +1 |
| 26 Oct. 2024 |
SAB
0 - 0
PRA
15%
20%
65%
|
40 | 18 | 22 | -1 |
| 20 Oct. 2024 |
PRA
1 - 2
SCR
57%
25%
18%
|
41 | 35 | 6 | -1 |
| 13 Oct. 2024 |
GIR
1 - 1
PRA
48%
25%
27%
|
41 | 41 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Tona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Nov. 2024 |
TON
5 - 0
MAN
36%
27%
37%
|
37 | 43 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2024 |
TON
2 - 1
OLO
20%
23%
58%
|
37 | 51 | 14 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2024 |
VIL
0 - 3
TON
39%
23%
37%
|
35 | 36 | 1 | +2 |
| 27 Oct. 2024 |
TON
2 - 2
EUR
78%
14%
8%
|
36 | 20 | 16 | -1 |
| 20 Oct. 2024 |
CEA
0 - 1
TON
13%
16%
70%
|
36 | 17 | 19 | 0 |