Pouso Alegre vs Ferroviária analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33.1%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.6%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.7%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
8.9%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
20.8%
30.5%
Draw
0-0
13%
1-1
13.5%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
30.5%
36.4%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
13.7%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
22.1%
0-2
7.2%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
10%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pouso Alegre
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jun. 2022 |
NVE
1 - 1
POA
53%
25%
22%
|
51 | 55 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2022 |
POA
1 - 1
NVE
34%
27%
39%
|
51 | 55 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2022 |
FER
0 - 1
POA
58%
24%
18%
|
50 | 58 | 8 | +1 |
| 14 May. 2022 |
POA
0 - 0
BAH
60%
23%
18%
|
50 | 46 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2022 |
POA
1 - 0
CAL
56%
23%
21%
|
49 | 46 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Ferroviária
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jun. 2022 |
FER
1 - 0
CAL
67%
21%
12%
|
58 | 45 | 13 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2022 |
CAL
1 - 2
FER
20%
29%
51%
|
58 | 45 | 13 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2022 |
FER
0 - 1
POA
58%
24%
18%
|
58 | 50 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2022 |
FER
1 - 1
INT
53%
26%
21%
|
58 | 54 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2022 |
NVE
2 - 1
FER
41%
30%
30%
|
59 | 55 | 4 | -1 |