Potiguar EC vs América RN analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.5%
Win probability
2.02
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.2%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.2%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.1%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
20.8%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.8%
16.7%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.2%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Potiguar EC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Nov. 1979 |
PEC
1 - 2
ASA
67%
20%
13%
|
71 | 59 | 12 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 1979 |
CRB
3 - 0
PEC
56%
24%
20%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | -1 |
| 20 Oct. 1979 |
ADL
2 - 0
PEC
62%
22%
16%
|
73 | 78 | 5 | -1 |
| 17 Oct. 1979 |
ITA
0 - 0
PEC
36%
28%
37%
|
73 | 58 | 15 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 1979 |
PEC
1 - 0
ARN
49%
26%
26%
|
73 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
América RN
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Mar. 2004 |
ARN
1 - 0
FER
54%
24%
22%
|
62 | 56 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2004 |
FLU
4 - 1
ARN
71%
18%
11%
|
63 | 79 | 16 | -1 |
| 08 Feb. 2004 |
ARN
4 - 3
FLA
18%
22%
60%
|
62 | 79 | 17 | +1 |
| 04 Feb. 2004 |
FER
4 - 0
ARN
33%
26%
42%
|
63 | 54 | 9 | -1 |
| 31 Jan. 2004 |
CAB
1 - 0
ARN
16%
20%
64%
|
64 | 47 | 17 | -1 |