Post vs Donaufeld analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
22.7%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.9%
2-0
3.2%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
5.9%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.2%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.9%
54.3%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
0-1
9.8%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.5%
0-2
8.9%
1-3
6%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
16.6%
0-3
5.4%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
8.8%
0-4
2.5%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.7%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Post
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Mar. 2017 |
SCW
3 - 1
POS
74%
15%
11%
|
15 | 19 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2017 |
POS
0 - 0
FAV
29%
24%
47%
|
15 | 20 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2016 |
POS
0 - 0
SPO
64%
19%
18%
|
15 | 14 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2016 |
MAN
3 - 3
POS
71%
18%
11%
|
15 | 23 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2016 |
POS
1 - 6
ELE
28%
22%
50%
|
17 | 23 | 6 | -2 |
Matches
Donaufeld
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Mar. 2017 |
DON
3 - 1
OST
70%
17%
13%
|
21 | 18 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2017 |
TEA
1 - 1
DON
62%
20%
18%
|
21 | 25 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2017 |
DON
3 - 1
WOL
84%
10%
6%
|
21 | 8 | 13 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2016 |
WIE
1 - 1
DON
53%
22%
25%
|
21 | 23 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2016 |
SIM
0 - 1
DON
16%
20%
64%
|
22 | 14 | 8 | -1 |